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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Kansas City Chiefs vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+4900/-7000).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +6000 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +4900.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.4% red zone pass rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 134.1 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Commanders pass defense has allowed a colossal 84.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 5th-highest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a big 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 8th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Robert Tonyan has been not been very involved his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile among tight ends.

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