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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

Robert Tonyan Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+5500/-6000).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -7250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -6000.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to pass on 64.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 65.0% red zone pass rate.

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Chiefs profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

This year, the deficient Lions defense has given up a whopping 0.60 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-slowest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, with opposing offenses averaging 29.02 seconds per snap.

With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Robert Tonyan places among the tight ends with the most usage near the goal line in football.

When it comes to air yards, Robert Tonyan grades out in just the 6th percentile among TEs this year, with just core.FORMAT(RATE1,1) per game.

Robert Tonyan's core.FORMAT(RATE1,1) WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the worst in the NFL: 5th percentile for TEs.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (60.9%) to tight ends this year (60.9%).

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