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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+4400/-4700).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +5000 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +4400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • With a lousy 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Robert Tonyan places among the TEs with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • Robert Tonyan has notched a measly 0.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 4th percentile among TEs.
  • Robert Tonyan rates in just the 5th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an unimpressive 0.5 mark this year.

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