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Robert Tonyan

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-103/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.1% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Chiefs this year (a massive 61.5 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to see just 128.0 total plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • With a measly 0.3% Target Share (4th percentile) this year, Robert Tonyan has been as one of the TEs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • When it comes to air yards, Robert Tonyan grades out in the lowly 2nd percentile among TEs this year, averaging just 0.0 per game.

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