Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Robert Tonyan

NFL · Player Props

Robert Tonyan

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 12:10 AM UTC

Analysis

Robert Tonyan Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Robert Tonyan has run a route on 64.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile among tight ends.
Robert Tonyan has totaled a whopping 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan has been among the most efficient receivers in football among tight ends, averaging a stellar 8.72 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 35.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (64.4%).

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