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RJ Harvey

RJ Harvey Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
RJ Harvey Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-144/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.5% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by our trusted projection set to call 67.1 total plays in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 59.9 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Broncos being a massive 14-point favorite this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Chargers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 31.1 per game) this year.
  • This year, the fierce Los Angeles Chargers defense has surrendered a puny 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-lowest rate in football.
  • This year, the tough Chargers defense has yielded a meager 0.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties project as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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