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Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-245).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +220.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -13-point disadvantage, the Panthers are massive underdogs this week, implying much more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.

The Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.

The Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (41.7 per game) this year.

While Rico Dowdle has accounted for 2.3% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Carolina's pass game near the goal line in this game at 8.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to be a much bigger part of his team's run game near the end zone in this contest (70.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (52.0% in games he has played).

This year, the fierce Green Bay Packers defense has yielded a meager 0.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing RBs: the best rate in football.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Green Bay's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in football.

More Rico Dowdle Player Props

Rico Dowdle TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9