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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (60.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
  • Rico Dowdle has posted a colossal 2.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Carolina offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 60.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Rico Dowdle has earned 50.0% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a feeble 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Bills defense has given up the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.

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