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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-104/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • The model projects Rico Dowdle to be a more integral piece of his team's pass game near the end zone in this game (13.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's 83.3% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a noteable gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 27.0 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to be a less important option in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line in this contest (33.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (45.5% in games he has played).
  • With a lousy ratio of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Rico Dowdle stands as one of the bottom receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to running backs this year.
  • This year, the daunting Miami Dolphins defense has yielded a puny 0.00 TDs through the air per game to opposing RBs: the smallest rate in the league.

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