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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+430/-730).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +430 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +430.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.
  • While Rico Dowdle has been responsible for 41.4% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a much smaller part of Carolina's running game near the goal line in this week's contest at 15.6%.
  • Rico Dowdle has received a monstrous 0.3% of his offense's air yards this year: 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Rico Dowdle grades out in the 93rd percentile among RBs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 0.17 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • With a dismal 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle places among the pass-catching running backs with the least usage near the end zone in football.

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