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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+172/-210).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -194 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -210.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Right now, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Carolina Panthers.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Rico Dowdle rates in the 78th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a staggering 14.0 mark this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • Rico Dowdle has garnered 54.1% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • In regards to air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the lowly 13th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.
  • The Rams pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) to RBs this year (78.1%).
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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