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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +190 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +194.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • Rico Dowdle has been in the 81st percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 14.2 figure this year.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Out of all RBs, Rico Dowdle grades out in the 88th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, making up 56.1% of the volume in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line.
  • Rico Dowdle has posted a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 20th percentile among RBs.
  • With an impressive ratio of 0.35 touchdowns on the ground per game (76th percentile), Rico Dowdle places as one of the leading rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.

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