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Rico Dowdle
NFL · Player Props
Rico Dowdle
RB · Carolina Panthers
Touchdowns
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 16, 2025 Updated Dec 21, 2025 9:07 PM EST
NFL Props Rico Dowdle Touchdowns

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -156.

Favors Over
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 59.7% red zone pass rate.
  • Rico Dowdle's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 78th percentile for running backs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.
Favors Under
  • The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Among all RBs, Rico Dowdle grades out in the 91st percentile for red zone carries this year, comprising 58.5% of the volume in his team's running game near the goal line.
  • Rico Dowdle has compiled a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among running backs.
  • Rico Dowdle has run for 0.38 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (83rd percentile).
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