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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Panthers to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 60.1% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • Rico Dowdle ranks in the 77th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a massive 13.7 mark this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 79.9% to 84.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • Out of all RBs, Rico Dowdle ranks in the 91st percentile for red zone carries this year, comprising 58.0% of the workload in his team's ground game near the goal line.
  • As it relates to air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the lowly 25th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.
  • Rico Dowdle has rushed for 0.36 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (80th percentile).

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