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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+134/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +129 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Panthers, who are huge -10-point underdogs.
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most pass-centric team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.9% red zone pass rate.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.
  • The model projects Rico Dowdle to be much more involved in his team's air attack near the goal line in this week's contest (12.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).
  • Rico Dowdle's 83.7% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a noteworthy gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Panthers to call the 11th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • While Rico Dowdle has garnered 59.2% of his team's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's run game near the end zone in this game at 70.0%.
  • With an outstanding ratio of 0.38 rushing touchdowns per game (81st percentile), Rico Dowdle rates among the leading rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.
  • The Rams defense has yielded the 6th-fewest receiving TDs in the NFL to RBs: 0.09 per game this year.

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