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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-113/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their typical approach.
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (59.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers.
  • The Panthers have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (37.1 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Rico Dowdle to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing game near the goal line in this contest (13.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.7% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are predicted by the projections to run only 63.3 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Out of all RBs, Rico Dowdle ranks in the 91st percentile for red zone carries this year, accounting for 61.4% of the workload in his team's running game near the goal line.
  • Rico Dowdle has rushed for 0.42 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL among RBs (83rd percentile).

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