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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-138/+119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (59.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Panthers.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to be a more important option in his team's passing attack near the end zone in this week's contest (8.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.0% in games he has played).
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Panthers, who are favored by 5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 50.5% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Saints, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.1 per game) this year.
  • Out of all RBs, Rico Dowdle ranks in the 86th percentile for red zone carries this year, comprising 53.1% of the usage in his offense's ground game near the goal line.

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