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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-104/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-most run-oriented team in football (41.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Carolina Panthers.
  • The Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually prompt lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • The projections expect Rico Dowdle to notch 16.2 rush attempts this week, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
  • The leading projections forecast Rico Dowdle to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this week's game (64.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (49.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -13-point disadvantage, the Panthers are massive underdogs this week, implying much more of an emphasis on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the stout Packers run defense has conceded a feeble 75.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 2nd-fewest in football.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties project as the best safety corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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