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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers as the 8th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.5 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • The projections expect Rico Dowdle to notch 14.4 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Rico Dowdle has received 50.6% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by the model to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The New York defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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