My Account Log Out
 
 
Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Rico Dowdle has generated 56.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football when it comes to running backs (82nd percentile).
  • The Atlanta Falcons defense has produced the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up 4.73 adjusted yards-per-carry.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The model projects the Carolina Panthers to be the 10th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 41.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 121.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.2 per game on average).
  • The leading projections forecast Rico Dowdle to be a less important option in his offense's running game in this game (21.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (55.7% in games he has played).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™