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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-102/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 10th-most run-heavy team in football (41.6% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Carolina Panthers.
  • The model projects Rico Dowdle to earn 14.0 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Rico Dowdle grades out in the 87th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 54.9% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
  • With an excellent total of 57.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (87th percentile), Rico Dowdle stands as one of the leading running backs in the league this year.
  • Rico Dowdle checks in as one of the top running backs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging an excellent 3.45 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 85th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.9 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • This year, the stout Buccaneers run defense has allowed a meager 104.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the 7th-fewest in the league.
  • The Tampa Bay defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

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