Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Rico Dowdle

NFL · Player Props

Rico Dowdle

RB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 29, 2025 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.0% run rate.
The model projects Rico Dowdle to earn 14.3 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Rico Dowdle has garnered 55.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
With an exceptional tally of 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (86th percentile), Rico Dowdle has been among the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
This year, the anemic Seahawks run defense has conceded a staggering 3.74 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 32nd-biggest rate in the league.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Seattle's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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