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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 7th-most run-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.0% run rate.
  • The model projects Rico Dowdle to earn 14.3 carries this week, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • Rico Dowdle has garnered 55.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With an exceptional tally of 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (86th percentile), Rico Dowdle has been among the leading pure rushers in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • This year, the anemic Seahawks run defense has conceded a staggering 3.74 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's ground game: the 32nd-biggest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Seattle's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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