My Account Log Out
 
 
Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 93.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 84.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 4th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 42.8% run rate.
  • In this week's contest, Rico Dowdle is forecasted by the model to position himself in the 95th percentile among RBs with 19.7 carries.
  • The leading projections forecast Rico Dowdle to be a more important option in his offense's run game in this week's contest (69.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.3% in games he has played).
  • Rico Dowdle has averaged 69.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to RBs (94th percentile).
  • Rico Dowdle's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this season marks a significant progression in his rushing ability over last season's 4.2 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™