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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
  • The Carolina offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Rico Dowdle's 86.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 79.9% figure.
  • As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 10th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 60.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • This year, the fierce Buffalo Bills defense has surrendered a feeble 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

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