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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-183/+143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.5 plays per game.

Rico Dowdle's 86.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a remarkable boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 80.0% figure.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's unit has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by the model to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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