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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Panthers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a colossal 59.8 per game on average).

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (40.2 per game) this year.

This week, Rico Dowdle is expected by the model to find himself in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.6 targets.

While Rico Dowdle has earned 5.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's passing offense in this week's game at 11.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 6th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Rico Dowdle's 1.1 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a meaningful regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 2.4 rate.

More Rico Dowdle Player Props

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