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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Rico Dowdle to accrue 3.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The projections expect Rico Dowdle to be much more involved in his team's passing attack in this week's game (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.5% in games he has played).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Panthers profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's 83.3% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a noteable gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 80.0% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.8% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in football has been the Panthers.
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to run the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Miami Dolphins, averaging the fewest attempts in football (just 27.0 per game) this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 2.4 figure.

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