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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • The Patriots linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Rico Dowdle's 6.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 13.3.
  • Rico Dowdle's 1.0 adjusted catches per game this year signifies a material drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 2.4 rate.

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