My Account Log Out
 
 
Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The model projects Rico Dowdle to earn 3.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Rico Dowdle has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Carolina offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • With an outstanding 2.0 adjusted receptions per game (77th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle stands as one of the top RBs in the pass game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.9 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™