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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+108/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The model projects Rico Dowdle to notch 3.2 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
  • With a sizeable 9.9% Target Share (84th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.0% pass rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This year, the imposing Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a meager 79.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 10th-best rate in the league.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 7th-best in football.

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