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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -144 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.
  • With an elite 9.5% Target% (81st percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed a monstrous 89.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Tampa Bay's collection of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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