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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-177/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.6% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • Rico Dowdle's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 79.9% to 84.7%.
  • This year, the feeble Saints pass defense has surrendered a massive 88.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 2nd-largest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: fewest in football.

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