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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Carolina Panthers this year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to total 2.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Saints pass defense has yielded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.6%) vs. running backs this year (88.6%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Panthers, who are favored by 5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 50.5% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Saints, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.1 per game) this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's receiving talent has declined this season, compiling just 1.4 adjusted receptions vs 2.4 last season.

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