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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Carolina Panthers vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a giant -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The 7th-most plays in the league have been run by the Panthers this year (a staggering 60.6 per game on average).
  • Rico Dowdle has posted a colossal 2.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not sound too impressive, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).
  • The Carolina offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • With an impressive 15.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (75th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle ranks among the top running backs in the pass game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.7% pass rate.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 60.4 plays on offense in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Buffalo Bills, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a noteworthy reduction in his efficiency in space over last season's 7.0% mark.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 22.0) vs. running backs this year.

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