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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

New York Jets vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.5 plays per game.
  • When it comes to air yards, Rico Dowdle grades out in the towering 85th percentile among RBs this year, totaling an impressive 2.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
  • Rico Dowdle's 86.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a remarkable boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 80.0% figure.
  • Rico Dowdle's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, averaging 7.31 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 5.28 rate last season.
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's unit has been terrible this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers as the 8th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Carolina Panthers are expected by the model to call just 61.0 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually cause lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.
  • Rico Dowdle's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a noteworthy decrease in his efficiency in space over last season's 7.0% mark.

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