My Account Log Out
 
 
Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a reliance on passing than their typical approach.
  • The Patriots linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.0 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Patriots defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Rico Dowdle's 6.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 13.3.
  • Rico Dowdle has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (5.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™