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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are an enormous 10.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 130.5 total plays run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • The projections expect Rico Dowdle to accrue 3.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • With an impressive 10.1% Target Share (83rd percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least pass-oriented team in the NFL (58.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Panthers.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) generally mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher run volume.
  • In regards to air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the lowly 13th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -3.0 per game.
  • Rico Dowdle's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.97 rate last year.
  • The Rams pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.1%) to RBs this year (78.1%).

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