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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The model projects Rico Dowdle to earn 3.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Rico Dowdle has been a big part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • The Carolina offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 15.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (75th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle places as one of the best RB receiving threats in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 125.9 total plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Rico Dowdle has put up a mere -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among RBs.
  • Rico Dowdle's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a material diminishment in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 7.0% figure.

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