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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-117/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal approach.
  • With an elite 9.5% Target% (81st percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle has been as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the NFL.
  • Rico Dowdle profiles as one of the top RB receiving threats this year, averaging an excellent 17.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 84th percentile.
  • Rico Dowdle's 7.4 adjusted yards per target this year marks an impressive boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 5.3 mark.
  • This year, the anemic Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered a massive 48.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 2nd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Rico Dowdle has compiled a meager -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile among running backs.
  • Rico Dowdle's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.97 mark last season.

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