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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.7 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.
  • Rico Dowdle has been a key part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.6% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
  • With a stellar 19.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (84th percentile) this year, Rico Dowdle rates among the top RB receiving threats in the league.
  • Rico Dowdle's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 79.9% to 84.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to be the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: fewest in football.
  • As it relates to air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the lowly 25th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -2.0 per game.
  • Rico Dowdle's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteable reduction in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 7.0% mark.
  • This year, the fierce New Orleans Saints defense has allowed a meager 21.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the fewest in the NFL.

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