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Rico Dowdle

Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The projections expect Rico Dowdle to notch 3.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Panthers grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's 6.6 adjusted yards per target this season indicates a meaningful boost in his pass-catching talent over last season's 5.3 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to have just 127.5 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Falcons, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (just 27.1 per game) this year.
  • Rico Dowdle's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a material drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 7.0% mark.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Atlanta's group of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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