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Richie James

Richie James Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Richie James Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-192/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their opportunities: the highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • This year, the porous Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered a staggering 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Bills, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.8 per game) this year.
  • Richie James's 25.3% Route Participation% this season represents an impressive drop-off in his pass attack utilization over last season's 60.4% mark.
  • Richie James's pass-catching performance diminished this year, accumulating just 1.2 adjusted receptions compared to 4.1 last year.
  • Richie James's 68.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching ability over last season's 85.3% mark.

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