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Richie James

Richie James Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Richie James Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

The Bengals defense has yielded the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (183.0) versus wide receivers this year.

This year, the poor Bengals defense has allowed the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a monstrous 10.06 yards.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Richie James's 18.5% Route Participation% this season reflects an impressive decline in his passing game usage over last season's 60.4% rate.

Richie James has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).

Richie James's 15.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys a substantial diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last season's 45.0 rate.

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