My Account Log Out
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+166/-205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -205.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • While Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New England's pass game near the end zone in this contest at 9.7%.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been responsible for a staggering 5.0% of his offense's air yards this year: 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 20.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 12.8.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 90.2% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a substantial improvement in his receiving skills over last season's 85.1% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 31.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Patriots ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™