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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-156).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense in the league (65.0% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
  • After averaging -3.0 air yards per game last season, Rhamondre Stevenson has seen marked improvement this season, now averaging 10.0 per game.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 12.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Patriots to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the New England Patriots this year (just 47.2 per game on average).
  • While Rhamondre Stevenson has been responsible for 40.3% of his offense's red zone rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New England's run game near the goal line in this week's contest at 70.0%.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has run for 0.41 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football when it comes to RBs (86th percentile).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL against the Seahawks defense this year (66.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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