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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+146/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +158 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued far more air yards this year (11.0 per game) than he did last year (-3.0 per game).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson places in the 90th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a massive 17.6 mark this year.
  • The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • With an outstanding 87.1% Adjusted Completion% (75th percentile) this year, Rhamondre Stevenson stands among the most reliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 40.3% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs.

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