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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-255).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -255.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has accrued many more air yards this season (9.0 per game) than he did last season (-3.0 per game).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 16.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 88th percentile for RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has earned 46.8% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson does not have any receiving TDs this year.
  • The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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