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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New England Patriots vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots to be the 6th-most run-focused team on the slate this week with a 45.9% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Carolina Panthers run defense has allowed a staggering 182.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to the opposing side: the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 4.4% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • After taking on 57.5% of his team's rushing play calls last season, Rhamondre Stevenson has played a smaller part in the running game this season, currently sitting at just 30.1%.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season conveys a meaningful decrease in his rushing talent over last season's 53.0 rate.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Carolina's group of DEs has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-best in the league.

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