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The Patriots boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to be the 7th-least run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.8% run rate.Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.Rhamondre Stevenson has been a less important option in his team's rushing attack this season (40.9% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (57.5%).With a terrible rate of 3.86 adjusted yards per carry (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Rhamondre Stevenson has been among the worst running backs in the league at the position.
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