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Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-109/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 4-point advantage, the Patriots are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run on 44.6% of their chances: the highest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 130.4 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The model projects Rhamondre Stevenson to accrue 11.9 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson's 4.8 adjusted yards per carry this year reflects a noteworthy boost in his rushing ability over last year's 3.9 figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots have run the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 47.3 plays per game.
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has been a less important option in his team's run game this season (36.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (57.5%).
  • Rhamondre Stevenson has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (53.0).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 85.0 per game) vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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